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Costa Rica to begin IMF negotiations on January 11

Costa Rica will begin negotiations for a loan from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on January 11, the Finance Ministry announced.

“Costa Rican economic authorities will begin formal discussions on the policy framework for an Extended Fund Facility (EFF) agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF),” the Finance Ministry said.

“The IMF mission will be carried out virtually, and will be led by Manuela Goretti as head. The IMF team will meet with economic authorities, deputies, private sector and civil society organizations, and academics.”

Costa Rica hopes to obtain a three-year, $1.75 billion loan from the financial institution. The Presidency has argued that the IMF loan would have favorable terms, allowing the country to renegotiate debts, spend less on interest payments and invest in social programs.

“The talks will cover the policies that the country needs to ensure the sustainability of public finances in the medium and long term and to support inclusive and sustainable growth,” the Finance Ministry said.

When a country borrows through the IMF’s Extended Fund Facility (EFF), as Costa Rica intended, it “commits to undertake policies to overcome economic and structural problems,” according to the financial entity.

Costa Rica has said it will cut public spending by 1.5% of GDP; generate new income through taxes, representing 0.8% of GDP; eliminate some tax exemptions; and collect 0.2% of GDP via redistribution of surpluses from public institutions. The Presidency has not announced the specific fiscal policies that would achieve these goals.

“Costa Rica needs, yes or yes, an adjustment,” President Carlos Alvarado said last month about the country’s planned IMF negotiations. “If we do nothing, the adjustment will be given by itself and will be like that of the 1980s. And it’s very painful. So, yes or yes, we need that adjustment.”

Alvarado had originally planned for Costa Rica to negotiate with the IMF last year, but following public backlash, the Presidency in October withdrew related economic measures.

Costa Rica facing debt challenge

Even if Costa Rica secures the IMF loan, it “would still face [a] debt challenge,” according to Fitch Ratings.

“Costa Rica’s wide fiscal deficit, high borrowing costs and post-pandemic economic recovery challenges could increase pressure on debt sustainability even if the country secures an IMF deal,” the U.S. credit-rating agency said.

Fitch expects interest payments to reach 5.4% of GDP, the third-highest ratio in Latin America behind only Jamaica and Suriname.

“Without significant consolidation, debt dynamics will remain adverse due to a subdued economic recovery coupled with high borrowing costs, increasing risks to debt sustainability,” Fitch Ratings says.

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