No menu items!

COSTA RICA'S LEADING ENGLISH LANGUAGE NEWSPAPER

HomeTopicsArts and CultureCoffee futures rise to 25-month high on global deficit forecast

Coffee futures rise to 25-month high on global deficit forecast

NEW YORK – Coffee futures rose to a 25-month high as concerns mounted that the global market will swing to a deficit after a drought in the first quarter ravaged crops in Brazil, the world’s biggest producer and exporter.

In the year starting Oct. 1 in most countries, world production will trail demand by 7.1 million bags, Marex Spectron, a London-based brokerage, said in a report. That would mark the first shortfall in five years, U.S. government data show. Heavy rain this weekend may delay the harvest in some parts of Brazil, Commodity Weather Group said Wednesday.

Through Wednesday, arabica futures surged 83 percent this year, the biggest gain among 24 raw materials tracked by the Standard & Poor’s GSCI Spot Index. The rally may boost costs for the premium-quality beans at Starbucks Corp. and J.M. Smucker Co., the maker of Folgers, the best-selling brand in the U.S.

“Concerns about the supply outlook are deepening,” Jack Scoville, a vice president for Price Futures Group in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “This problem is probably going to last more than one season.”

Arabica coffee for May delivery climbed 2.9 percent to $2.079 a pound at 1:20 p.m. on ICE Futures U.S. in New York. Earlier, the price reached $2.10, the highest for a most-active contract since Feb. 14, 2012. The commodity headed for the sixth straight gain, the longest rally in two months.

Brazil’s crop prospects may suffer for “at least three years,” Judy Ganes-Chase, the president of J. Ganes Consulting in Panama City, Panama, said in an email. “The trees will not be able to immediately rehydrate after being starved of nourishment. Trees will also be more susceptible to disease, and there will be things that are not apparent now that will manifest down the line.”

In 2013, futures dropped 23 percent, capping a three-year slump of 54 percent. The rout was the longest since since 1993 amid bumper crops in Brazil. That prompted many growers to curb investments and cut fertilizer use, while Central American harvests have been hampered by leaf-rust disease.

“There’s no problem with physical availability in calendar year 2014, but significant risks threaten 2015-2016,” Marex said, citing an El Niño weather event that may soak Brazil by mid-year and leaf rust.

Stockpiles of robusta coffee monitored by London’s NYSE Liffe have fallen to the lowest since at least 2002.

Through Wednesday, robusta futures climbed 27 percent this year. The beans are used in instant coffee.

The arabica premium to robusta has more than tripled this year and headed for the highest since March 2012, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Commodity Weather Group, based in Bethesda, Maryland, said that a dry pattern starting in a week may reduce potential crop damage from rain in Brazil.

In the previous two seasons, the accumulated global coffee surplus was 9.65 million bags, Marex said.

A bag weighs 60 kilograms or 132 pounds.

© 2014, Bloomberg News

Trending Now

UN Experts Warn of Possible Nicaraguan Government Role in Exile’s Murder in Costa Rica

A team of UN human rights experts said Tuesday that involvement by the Nicaraguan government in the killing of retired major Roberto Samcam cannot...

Exiled NGO Slams Bukele’s Rule as Repeat of Authoritarian Past

Salvadorans deserve “something better” than living between “gangs or dictatorship,” said Noah Bullock, director of the influential NGO Cristosal, in an interview. On Thursday,...

El Salvador at Center of Controversial U.S.-Venezuela Detainee Exchange

Salvadoran President Nayib Bukele received the 10 Americans exchanged on Friday between Washington and Caracas for 252 Venezuelans who had spent four months in...

A Closer Look at the Elusive Purple Gallinule in Costa Rica

Quick! Think of a purple bird! It’s a little difficult, right? I searched my brain and came up with a purple martin. A small...

Costa Rica Police Uncover Second Cyanide-Laced Mining Operation in Crucitas

The environmental crisis in Crucitas persists. Police discovered and dismantled an artisanal mining material processing plant in a wooded area of Tatú Hill in Crucitas,...

Costa Rica Reports Surge in Human Trafficking Cases

The General Directorate of Immigration (DGME) has reported 36 confirmed victims of human trafficking for commercial or sexual purposes in Costa Rica during the...
spot_img
Costa Rica Coffee Maker Chorreador
Costa Rica Coffee Maker Chorreador
Costa Rica Travel Insurance
Costa Rica Rocking Chait
Costa Rica Travel

Latest News from Costa Rica