HomeTopicsBusinessDollar Rebounds From Record Low but Year-End Could Favor the Colón Again

Dollar Rebounds From Record Low but Year-End Could Favor the Colón Again

The U.S. dollar posted its strongest week against the Costa Rican colón in months, but the gain is small next to a slide that began in mid-2022, and at least one economist expects the colón to regain ground as the year closes. On the Foreign Currency Market (Monex), the dollar closed Friday, Sept. 25, at ₡454.70, up ₡6.92 from ₡447.78 a week earlier.

It was the highest close since June 29, when the dollar ended at ₡454.94, and it came just over a week after a record low of ₡446.80 on Sept. 17. Rates at the bank window are wider than Monex. As of late Friday afternoon, every bank was buying dollars at ₡436 or more, while Banco de Costa Rica, Banco Nacional and Banco Popular were selling at ₡462. Other private operators were selling between ₡460 and ₡463.

In practical terms, someone selling $1,000 at a bank on Friday would have received at least ₡436,000, while someone buying $1,000 at one of the three state banks would have paid about ₡462,000. The Central Bank of Costa Rica (BCCR) reference rate for Saturday was ₡450.38 to buy and ₡455.60 to sell.

Trading was lighter during the rebound. A total of $161.06 million changed hands on Monex over five sessions, compared with $195.97 million in four sessions the previous week, when a holiday closed the market on Tuesday. The Central Bank bought $56.06 million on Monex this week to cover dollar demand from the non-bank public sector, down from $78.70 million the week before. It did not buy dollars to build its own reserves or carry out stabilization operations to smooth the price.

Dollar supply from the public remained strong. From Monday to Thursday, banks and other exchange intermediaries bought $622.08 million from customers and sold $541.95 million, leaving a surplus of $80.13 million, according to BCCR data. In other words, customers sold more dollars than they bought.

Whether the rebound lasts may depend on the calendar. Federico Quesada Chaves, director of the School of Administrative Sciences at the State Distance University (UNED), said the dollar could face renewed downward pressure in the final months of 2026. He pointed to the extra foreign currency that typically enters the market with aguinaldo payments, bonuses, holiday purchases and year-end business operations, beginning around late October and early November.

Quesada described that as a possible scenario rather than a certain decline. He also said that a new Eurobond placement, if the government raises dollars abroad and converts them into colones locally, could add to the supply of dollars. No such placement has been confirmed. UNED noted that the Central Bank holds more than $20 billion in reserve assets.

The Central Bank board recently kept its monetary policy rate at 3%, citing slower local growth and international tensions. Quesada has listed a lower policy rate and changes to banks’ reserve requirements among the tools that could ease pressure on the dollar. He noted that those decisions rest with the independent Central Bank.

The colón’s long run of strength has costs for businesses that earn in dollars but pay salaries, rent and services in colones. Shirley Calvo, executive director of the National Chamber of Tourism (Canatur), has cited the currency’s appreciation as one factor weighing on small tourism businesses. Figures from the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INEC) show that tourism-related employment fell by 20,137 jobs between the second quarter of 2024 and the same period of 2026.

For households, Quesada advised keeping debts in the same currency as income to limit exposure to swings in the exchange rate. Even after this week’s gain, the dollar sits only about ₡8 above its record low. The final quarter, when seasonal dollar inflows usually build, should show whether the rebound marks a turn or a pause.

Trending Now

1 Million Coral Embryos Return to a Costa Rica Reef in a National First

Researchers in Manzanillo raised coral larvae in a lab for the first time in Costa Rica and returned nearly 1 million embryos to the reef.

National Team Defender Among Four Held in Costa Rica Loan-Shark Extortion Probe

Cartaginés right-back Carlos Barahona, 24, was detained in pre-dawn raids in Cartago as a suspect in extortion tied to gota a gota loans.

Costa Rica’s Capital Gets a Temporary Forest and Free Saturday Music

A temporary forest at the entrance to the Central Bank Museums will host a free music event Saturday, giving residents and visitors yet another...

Costa Rica Prison Faces Court Challenge Before Inmate Transfers Begin

A prisoners’ rights group has asked Costa Rica’s Constitutional Court to stop inmate transfers to the newly inaugurated CACCO prison, saying concerns about heat,...

University March Will Slow San José Traffic Tuesday From 8 a.m. to 6 p.m.

If you need to get across eastern San José or downtown tomorrow, plan around a national march against cuts to public university funding. Marchers...

Costa Rica’s Cahuita Tourism Businesses Struggle After Major Drug Raids

Tourism businesses in Cahuita, one of our best-known Caribbean destinations, are struggling with fewer visitors, declining sales and concerns about the town's reputation following...

Costa Rica’s Rebeca Grynspan Leads UN Race but Faces Two Potential Vetoes

Costa Rican diplomat Rebeca Grynspan remains the leading candidate to become the next secretary-general of the United Nations, but a new round of voting...

Police Detain Woman in Raids Over Playas del Coco Killing of American

Costa Rican judicial police detained a woman early this morning in raids in Desamparados, just south of San José. The search continues for the...

Costa Rica President to Tour CECOT Days After Opening a 5,100-Inmate Prison

President Fernández will travel to El Salvador on Friday to tour the Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT), the mega-prison at the center of President Nayib...
Loading…

Latest News from Costa Rica

Costa Rica Coffee Maker Chorreador
Costa Rica Car Rentals
Costa Rica Travel Insurance
Costa Rica Travel